Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001937 0.002054 0.002175 0.002310 0.002456 0.002610 0.002784
2025-05-11 0.001805 0.001975 0.002158 0.002371 0.002613 0.002879 0.003197
2025-05-18 0.001687 0.001889 0.002114 0.002385 0.002703 0.003067 0.003520
2025-05-25 0.001563 0.001783 0.002033 0.002342 0.002715 0.003156 0.003723
2025-06-01 0.001473 0.001706 0.001977 0.002319 0.002742 0.003257 0.003940
2025-06-08 0.001417 0.001664 0.001957 0.002334 0.002813 0.003410 0.004225
2025-06-15 0.001350 0.001604 0.001910 0.002312 0.002832 0.003495 0.004424
2025-06-22 0.001295 0.001555 0.001874 0.002298 0.002858 0.003588 0.004636
2025-06-29 0.001242 0.001506 0.001833 0.002275 0.002870 0.003660 0.004821
2025-07-06 0.001190 0.001455 0.001788 0.002244 0.002867 0.003709 0.004975
2025-07-13 0.001129 0.001391 0.001722 0.002181 0.002817 0.003689 0.005025
2025-07-20 0.001102 0.001369 0.001710 0.002190 0.002865 0.003809 0.005285
2025-07-27 0.001084 0.001360 0.001719 0.002232 0.002967 0.004019 0.005712
2025-08-03 0.001074 0.001362 0.001742 0.002295 0.003103 0.004289 0.006257
2025-08-10 0.001048 0.001341 0.001732 0.002309 0.003169 0.004457 0.006652
2025-08-17 0.001004 0.001294 0.001685 0.002268 0.003148 0.004490 0.006828
2025-08-24 0.000971 0.001259 0.001653 0.002246 0.003155 0.004566 0.007079
2025-08-31 0.000951 0.001243 0.001645 0.002261 0.003219 0.004734 0.007504
2025-09-07 0.000921 0.001212 0.001615 0.002239 0.003224 0.004807 0.007764
2025-09-14 0.000895 0.001185 0.001592 0.002226 0.003240 0.004899 0.008066
2025-09-21 0.000869 0.001157 0.001563 0.002204 0.003242 0.004966 0.008325
2025-09-28 0.000841 0.001126 0.001531 0.002174 0.003228 0.005003 0.008530
2025-10-05 0.000807 0.001084 0.001480 0.002114 0.003161 0.004943 0.008537